Note: I stumbled on this excellent article on FB written by Arun Shrivastava on some of the behind the scenes geopolitical movements behind BRICS developments. He’s provided some great links for further research into this emerging equation…
Copyright: Arun Shrivastava
New Delhi, India
The three dominant components of BRICS in the Eurasian landmass are Russia, India and China or RIC. Led by Vladimir Putin, Narendra Modi and Xi Jinping, the three have forged an economic, energy, trade, finance and banking, and weapons (manufacturing and trade) alliance within a span of five months. Military cooperation will be a continuous feature as much as a coordinated effort to neutralise and eventually defeat largely USA sponsored terrorism.
Such tectonic shifts in geo-politics do not happen overnight. Here are a few points that illustrate the processes that went behind forging of the alliance.
1. Narendra Modi [1] has worked closely with Putin for over fourteen years. Modi was not even a minister then, just a senior party worker. Prime Minister Vajpayee [1999-2004] was grooming him for bigger role. It was Modi and Putin who worked out twinning arrangement between Gujarat State and Astrakhan. They laid down a strategic cooperation plan between Russia and India, adopted in 2001. Putin, already President of Russia, came to Delhi to initiate strategic dialogue covering economic, energy and military cooperation. When Modi became Chief Minister of Gujarat late in 2001, that relationship was further strengthened. Discussion to lay down a gas pipeline from Astrakhan to Gujarat was first initiated during this early period. [2][3]
When 9/11 events happened both Vajpayee and Putin offered to collaborate with the USA. Both offers were rejected and we all know why. By late 2003, after the US attack on Iraq, it was clear that a devilish, global resource war is on in which democratic leaders and international law would be ignored. Even the UN system became an extension of US power through its Framework Team. Putin went on to say that ‘they [the West] don’t want any discussions, or partners; they want to dictate to vassals.’ In 2004 ‘stolen’ election Manmohan Singh, a former IMF Executive Director and a despicable character, was inserted as Prime Minister and India became one of West’s vassals. They stole another election in 2009. During Manmohan years [2004-2014] there was no significant progress on Indo-Russian strategic partnership. A hostile posture vis-a-vis China was maintained along with diplomatic inanities with BRICS. If Manmohan Singh and her de facto boss Antonia Maino [known in India as Sonia Gandhi, a low level Nazi’s daughter] had won the election in 2014 [April-May], they would broken up and sold India to the West. [4] The planned balkanisation, role of West sponsored ‘Secularists’ and NGOs, west funded political groups, academics and media, and the hijacking of people’s anti-corruption movement is properly documented. [5] The embassies of USA, UK, France Germany, Norway, Switzerland and Sweden and the Israelis have ensured that Nepal and Bhutan can be exploded anytime and the entire Himalayan region straddling China and India can go up in flames. [6][a,b,c,d]
2. Modi’s Asia centric strategy evolved from early 1990s onward. Twenty years ago, around the time Dawood Ibrahim funded terrorist acts followed by communal riot in 1992, he had warned that terrorist activities will have to be resolved at global level but he was told that ‘such activities are local law and order problems.’[7] Recall history. Whenever there was an uprising in India, the British Media called it local law and order problem. Now, it is the same story except that they engineer the events and call it local law and order problem.
Narendra Modi, denounced by West’s liberal Left as fascist, saw through the game back in the early 1990s. Had warned. Was denounced ‘hard-liner’. By who and why? Governments are extremely well briefed. They have access to top class information. Officers know and can brief leaders. Modi reads a lot even now, rather more so. That is worrying the West.
Within months of his taking office as Chief Minister, a communal riot was engineered in which he was implicated. Even after 12 years of most intense intelligence probes, instigated by the Western Crime Conglomerate including the Jesuits and American Christian fundamentalists, no one, not even the Supreme Court of India, find could a single evidence showing Modi’s involvement in these riots.
When he became Gujarat’s Chief Minister [2001], he established contact with China, invited investments and joint ventures. As Chief Minister Modi travelled to China five times. Just as he was impressed by China’s economic progress, so were the Chinese political and commercial leaders impressed with his no-nonsense approach to business and economic development. As a result Gujarat has largest investments from China. Businessmen from around the world wanting to do business in India during Singh-Sonia rule avoided Delhi, went directly to Gujarat and flew out ignoring Delhi’s rulers.
In one of his China visits [Nov., 2011] Modi was accorded the honour to address senior Politburo members led by Mr Wang Gang at the Great Hall at Beijing usually reserved for head of the states. [8] Modi’s personal rapport with the Chinese Communist Party [CPC] leadership was built parallel to that with the Russian leadership and particularly Putin, facts that few analysts know and fewer bother to even mention in the mainstream media.
When Xi Jinping was in India [Sept., 2014], Indo-Chinese border tension was escalated by the Chinese line commanders. Both leaders ignored this and instead, with a shared concern for rapid economic development and cooperation, said in their Joint Statement: [We agree] “to make this developmental partnership a core component of the Strategic and Cooperative Partnership for Peace and Prosperity……. conducive not only to the common interests of both sides, but also to stability and prosperity of the region and the world.” [9][10]
This vital public statement uncovered an evolving relationship where constructive engagement will be the new normal. Following his return to China, Xi Jinping called a top level meeting with services chiefs and gave them, as some reports say, real dressing down telling them that the armed forces must work under the CPC. This was not reported by India’s pro-West mainstream media but the border incidence was kept on the front page for days.
3. Between 2004-2014, Narendra Modi was consolidating his power within his party [BJP] but even within the BJP a large segment was secretly collaborating with Singh-Sonia duo. Many of Modi’s current cabinet ministers are known collaborators of pro-West clique which ultimately links them with the Western Crime Conglomerate [WCC] whichever way one defines WCC. [Banksters, Anglo-American Zionists, the Bilderbergers, the Jesuits, American fundamentalist Christians or any combination]. Russia and China were watching the drama unfold as India stumbled from one multi-billion dollar scam to another, open looting of its natural resources, and the NGOs, particularly Liberal West’s darling Arundhati Roy openly advocating ‘Breaking India’ for which she was charged with sedition. Events between 2009 and 2014 gave an impression, to me at least, that India would be broken up into five to seven countries.
My detailed report weeks before Narendra Modi’s landslide victory was not published by leading Left Liberal websites because they still believe that Narendra Modi is a fascist. They have not done their homework and don’t know the ground reality in India.
4. Modi won absolute majority in the Parliament and became Prime Minister in May [results were declared on 16th May, 2014]. A Chinese delegation was in Delhi that time finalising Agriculture related agreements. They stayed back and returned one month later! Perhaps during this initial phase the ground work for BRICS and broad based cooperation was discussed and shared with the Russians. People don’t know in the West that 50-60% of all international treaties India has are with Russia and China. Also worth noting is that China and India never had a border, never fought a war in their 8,000-year history and about 3000-years’ history of trade relations. [Fleets of merchant ships would sail around November from India, aided by wind, drop anchor at Bali (Indonesia), then sail up North to East Asia, China and Japan. Even today Bali-Yatra (Voyage to Bali) is celebrated as a major festival in Orissa. Similarly, Chinese ships came here].
5. Modi, Xi Jinping and Vladimir Putin are deeply religious and deeply grounded in their traditional civilizational values. Modi is conservative Hindu, Xi follows Confucius and Putin is Eastern Orthodox Christian. They have evolved a common world view in which Britain and USA-the main architects of Western domination, the Anglo-American Zionists, and the Vatican- have no role. That’s what is the deep structure of their shared belief system. They can’t accept coercion. Modi made that absolutely clear in his joint Press conference with Putin and Jinping.
6. Fact check-economy: The combined GDP of Russia, China and India [RCI] in 2014 was larger than that of Germany. USA, UK, France and Italy [GUUFI]. Savings to GDP ratio and investments in Fixed Capital were much higher in RIC as compared to GUUFI. The western media alleges that Russia lives off oil and gas economy. This is false. Russia has balanced and diversified economy with perhaps lowest tax rate [about 13%]. RCI are unlikely to privatise core strategic assets and one reason RCI did not face financial problem in 2008 and earlier is that their biggest banks are Government owned and tightly regulated. Private Western banks have limited role, even in India. RIC have real manufacturing economy projected to grow at 5-6% [China], 8-10% [India] and about 8-10% [Russia]. All three have aversion to GMOs so their food sector will grow as well. RIC have 388 million hectare of good land which can feed the world. American agriculture will eventually be finished because RIC as well as EU have zero tolerance for GMOs. Furthermore, Modi’s declared policy is to compensate a farmer at Cost of production + 50%. China increased its agricultural production by 750% between 1980 and 2005. Russia has earmarked agriculture sector for heavy investment. Armies can fight wars only when they have healthy food. American soldiers have GMOs in their belly, somehow surviving to walk straight.
6. Fact check-military: RIC have an immense military infrastructure. Active men/women number about 4.37 million against GUUFI’s 2.15. Total armed forces number 11.92 million for RIC against GUUFI’s 3.64. The technological gap has been closed in almost all types of weapons’ system. Russia has trained its soldiers to such high level that each can perform the role of five NATO soldiers because they have just 145 million people and the smallest armed forces. It is for this reason that the West has used the fifth columnists [NGOs] to create problems in Russia, China and India, consistently for the past 15-20 years. Insiders from the USA say that their nuclear command has been compromised by Obama, perhaps a reason why both Paul Craig Roberts and Lynn LaRouch have been warning of thermonuclear war.
7. Important recent developments juxtaposed against history
Xi-Jinping and Modi signed an agreement on many cooperation areas but paragraph 18 paves the way for potentially full spectrum military alliance. Without China’s tacit cooperation India could not have taken up massive deployment of troops against Pakistan in 1971 war. India withdrew the highly trained mountain divisions across the Indo-Chinese border to be redeployed against Pakistan. Many writers cite Indo-Chinese war of 1962 and the border issue as a hindrance to full scale cooperation. If I remember correctly, Chou En Lai had made an offer to India in the mid 1950s to cede barren rocks of Aksai Chin for access to Tibet, in exchange for more fertile land in the East, part of Tibet, north of Arunachal Pradesh then known as North East Frontier Agency [NEFA]. India’s Prime Minister Nehru, gloriously known as international political monkey and a British lackey, refused the deal and ordered war without any preparation. Indian soldiers with canvas shoes and no high altitude survival training capitulated against 9:1 Chinese attack force. This event is written about in India as China’s war against India. The fact is that straight analysis in “The Great Himalayan Blunder” prove foolishness of two British stooges and many army commanders of World War II vintage caused the problem. Misleading writings of typically pro-Empire rogues like Maxwell’s “India’s China War” can be dismissed.
Russia-India military alliance was signed in 1971 during the Soviet era that still is on the statue books. That alliance ensured the liberation of East Pakistan now known as Bangladesh. When the US Pacific fleet sailed from Guam to ‘teach India a lesson,’ the Soviet fleet was right behind. British warships in the Arabian Sea sighted Russian submarines too frequently and left the area in a hurry. Before the Pacific fleet led by USS Enterprise could reach war zone, Bangladesh had been liberated. IT was one of the greatest defeats of Anglo-American warlords.
Putin and Modi have signed a raft of MoUs on 20 cooperation areas including joint design and construction of nuclear reactors for world market, joint development and manufacturing of helicopters, passenger aircrafts [essentially to compete with Airbus and Boeing], joint military officers’ training programme, etc. Putin’s 22 hour stay in Delhi was a momentous occasion during which sixteen major cooperation agreements were signed in addition to already existing 69, highest with any country. The most important ones deal with joint production of nuclear reactors, as many as ten new nuclear reactors in India, manufacturing of Russia’s technologically advanced helicopters in India, major energy deals and other cooperation.
https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=Qmy1MHqupqc
Foreign policy: The most significant statement came in the joint press conference of Putin and Modi on 11th December on Afghanistan, Iraq and Syria and earlier with Xi Jinping. Both statements have been downplayed or removed. They said (a) the way things are going on has to change and (b) Russia, China and India have a role to play to start peace process and economic development. The oblique reference was that the world has had enough of plundering and killing, It must stop now.
SUN TZU in the ‘ART OF WAR’ states: “Those who use fire to assist their attacks are intelligent; those who use inundations are powerful.” [sic]
[1] Modi’s background
http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Narendra_Modi
[2] http://timesofindia.indiatimes.com/…/articleshow/1715287.cms
http://timesofindia.indiatimes.com/…/articleshow/1698471.cms
[3] Russia India dialogue on Pipeline starts
http://www.hindustantimes.com/…/india…/article1-1248292.aspx
[4] http://www.salem-news.com/ar…/may132012/soetoro-maino-as.php
[5] http://www.vijayvaani.com/ArticleDisplay.aspx?aid=3188
In this article I had said weeks before election results that if Narendra Modi does not win, India could be dismembered and South Asia would be in serious trouble.
[6] http://www.globalresearch.ca/the-political-crisis-in-…/31494
[7] http://defence.pk/…/modi-warns-against-narco-terrorism-by-…/
[8] http://www.narendramodi.in/speech-of-hon%E2%80%99ble-chief…/
He is the first Prime Minister who has not gone to London to pay obeisance to the Lords of the planetary manor. Nor has he given much importance to the Western European Governments, nor to the World Bank whose CEO came calling within days of his taking up as PM.
[9] Xi Jinping accorded ceremonial welcome [last 5 minutes, very important]
https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=6gqxWEz8zok
[10] http://www.mea.gov.in/bilateral-documents.htm…
